BOM says storms are coming despite the dry weather
THERE are few benefits in a prolonged drought but according to Bureau of Meteorology forecaster Vinord Anand it reduces the frequency of severe storms.
"Just based on the seasonal climate expectation, the Warwick region is going to have dryer than average conditions. Given most of the rain we get in summer is from storms, you could say there'll be slightly less storm activity," he said.
This doesn't mean we are totally safe.
The BoM has factored in an average of five to six serious storm events for the region through November and December.
"It's a hard thing, generally we do expect an increase in storm activity as we head into late spring and summer," Mr Anand said.
"You do have a lot storms that don't produce rain and they can have damaging winds. Just because we are expecting less rain doesn't mean we'll have less serious storms."
With an El Nino expected to influence our weather and higher than average temperatures through summer, it won't take much to kick a storm into gear if the right conditions present themselves.
"The warm days can help with storm activity, but there are a lot of other conditions that need to be present," Mr Anand said.
"You need a lot of moisture in the lower level of the atmosphere. If you do have a lot moisture or a trough in the area, the warmer days will aid in creating storms. If there is an upper trough in the area it will help as well, but if it's 40 degrees and there are no clouds you won't get any storms."
Queensland is Australia's most disaster-prone state and the State Government gave $2million to local councils to improve storm planning.
"We know from experience that informed and prepared residents and communities are able to respond to and recover from disasters more quickly than those who don't," Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk said.
Weather forecasts for Queensland
Forecast for the rest of Friday
The slight to moderate chance of shower and storm activity in a band extending from the northwest through the interior to the Darling Downs, a little more likely about far northwest parts and the Darling Downs and the South East Coast districts where some storms may be severe.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms remain possible from northwest Queensland, through the interior to the southeast, with activity likely to become more scattered about and possibly severe over southeast parts due to the upper trough and wind change.
The coastal trough and associated southeasterly wind change may strengthen and move north. The trough should result in shower and thunderstorm activity persisting in a band from northwestern Queensland through the central interior and into the southeastern corner of the state. Storms are particularly likely over the northwest of the state and over the southeastern interior where higher moisture exists, and should generally remain inland of the southern coast.